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CRAMMED trains, cancelled flights, late postal deliveries: the prospect of widespread strikes threatens to give many Britons a distinctly un-merry Christmas. Drivers and conductors on Southern Rail are expected to down tools on several occasions in protest at their conditions. British Airways flight attendants may ground themselves on Christmas and Boxing Day over “poverty payâ€. Post Office workers are also walking out.
Those stuck in departure lounges or with presents in the post may doubt it, but Britain’s trade unions are a dwindling force. Since peaking in 1979 their membership has fallen by nearly half, from 13m to 7m (even as the workforce has grown). Members are older: between 1995 and 2014 the proportion over the age of 50 rose from 22% to 38%. The average member strikes about a tenth as often as in the 1970s. We estimate that December will see fewer than 100,000 working days lost to strikes. That is many more than the monthly average for 2016, yet very few compared with November 2011, for instance, when more than 1m public-sector workers went on strike over austerity. Comparisons to the “winter of discontent†in 1978-79, when...Continue reading
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